Executive Summary
IOI submitted · CHF 32.5–37.5M Confidential
IOI submitted May 21, 2026 at CHF 32.5–37.5M (CAD 55–65M). Response pending. Based on preliminary diligence only — no CIM, no management meeting yet.
IOI Range
CHF 32.5–37.5M
CAD 55–65M
Entry Multiple
9.7–11.2x
2025E EBITDA (100% cash)
Synergy-Adj Multiple
6–8x
on CHF 4.8M+ adj EBITDA
2025E EBITDA
CHF 3.3M
~42% margin
Background
  • Loylogic is a Swiss-HQ loyalty rewards marketplace. Founder Dominic Hofer inbounded to Blair directly in April 2026.
  • NDA signed early May 2026. VDR opened May 13. IOIs due May 21 (extended from May 19 at JEM C3's request).
  • No CIM provided. No management meeting yet.
  • Seller asking 11–12x EBITDA, 100% cash. Our IOI falls just below that range.
Deal Thesis
  • Loylogic accelerates CarltonOne's reach in Scale-Growth (Customer Loyalty) M&A vector.
  • Assumes customer retention and platform migration to a singular C1 platform.
  • Cost synergies of CHF >1.5M projected, improving adj. EBITDA from CHF 3.3M to CHF >4.8M.
  • Strategic fit confirmed across all criteria except Swiss HQ.
Key Risks at a Glance
Customer concentration
High
Etihad + Nestlé = 64% of projected FY26 revenue. Retention is binary for deal economics.
Platform migration
High
Speed and confidence of migrating to a single C1 platform is unvalidated.
International ops
Medium
4-country workforce adds integration complexity vs. C1's current structure.
Growth validation
Medium
Revenue flat 2023–2025. Mid-teens projected growth needs pipeline validation.
Deal Analyst
Live search enabled
Analyst
Ready. I have full access to all Loylogic deal materials and can search the web in real time. Ask me anything.
Try: "What's the Etihad contract status?" or "Walk me through the synergy math" or "What is Loylogic saying publicly about their AI?"
Open questions 0